Middle Tennessee
W-L: (27-30) PR = 93.4323Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 8- 2 214 H Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 3- 6 214 H Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 15- 5 217 A UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 19-15 220 A Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 2- 1 221 H St. Bonaventure A10 ( 1- 6, 87.4) 5- 6 222 H St. Bonaventure A10 ( 1- 6, 87.4) 7- 0 224 H Tennessee Tech OV ( 5-13, 90.0) 11- 1 227 H Illinois State MV ( 4-13, 90.9) 13- 3 228 H Illinois State MV ( 4-13, 90.9) 8- 2 301 H Illinois State MV ( 4-13, 90.9) 7-14 303 A Gardner-Webb BSO ( 6- 8, 92.2) 5- 3 304 A Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 7- 1 306 H Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 2- 7 307 A UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 8- 9 307 A UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 14-16 310 H Eastern Kentucky AS (17-34, 91.2) 17- 0 313 H Kennesaw State CUSA (27-25, 94.7) 1- 6 314 H Kennesaw State CUSA (27-25, 94.7) 13- 2 315 H Kennesaw State CUSA (27-25, 94.7) 4- 3 317 H Murray State MV ( 9-13, 91.8) 3- 5 320 A Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 4- 6 321 H Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 4-12 322 A Missouri State CUSA (35-19, 96.3) 9-10 324 A Alabama A&M SWAC ( 1- 6, 89.5) 10- 2 327 H New Mexico State CUSA (21-32, 92.9) 7- 5 328 H New Mexico State CUSA (21-32, 92.9) 8- 7 329 H New Mexico State CUSA (21-32, 92.9) 9- 6 331 H Southern Indiana OV ( 8- 8, 94.8) 2- 7 402 A Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 5- 6 403 A Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 6- 7 404 A Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 1- 3 407 A New Orleans SL ( 6-10, 93.8) 5- 2 410 H Lipscomb AS (32-22, 92.2) 1- 6 411 A Louisiana Tech CUSA (31-26, 94.7) 2- 8 412 A Louisiana Tech CUSA (31-26, 94.7) 3- 5 414 A Belmont MV ( 4-12, 91.7) 10- 8 417 H Delaware CUSA (20-30, 92.1) 8- 7 418 H Delaware CUSA (20-30, 92.1) 4- 3 419 H Delaware CUSA (20-30, 92.1) 4- 0 421 A Tennessee Tech OV ( 5-13, 90.0) 6-12 424 A Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 3- 6 425 A Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 12- 8 426 A Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 4- 9 428 A Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 1- 9 501 H Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 7- 1 502 H Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 0-11 503 H Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 8- 9 508 A Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 11- 9 509 A Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 5- 7 510 A Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 2-10 512 H Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 10- 9 514 A Troy SB (40-31, 96.2) 8- 6 515 A Ohio State B10 (31-22, 95.0) 2- 7 516 H Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 7- 8 520 A Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 2- 8 521 H Jacksonville State CUSA (47-18, 97.1) 3- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Bellarmine 8- 2 6 3 + 3.05
214 H Bellarmine 3- 6 -3 3 -- -5.95
214 H Bellarmine 15- 5 10 3 +++ 7.05
217 A UAB 19-15 4 -2 +++ 6.12
220 A Bellarmine 2- 1 1 2 -0.60
221 H St. Bonaventure 5- 6 -1 7 --- -7.74
222 H St. Bonaventure 7- 0 7 7 0.26
224 H Tennessee Tech 11- 1 10 4 ++ 5.87
227 H Illinois State 13- 3 10 3 +++ 6.79
228 H Illinois State 8- 2 6 3 + 2.79
301 H Illinois State 7-14 -7 3 --- -10.21
303 A Gardner-Webb 5- 3 2 1 1.48
304 A Georgia Southern 7- 1 6 1 ++ 5.15
306 H Central Arkansas 2- 7 -5 1 --- -6.40
307 A UAB 8- 9 -1 -2 1.12
307 A UAB 14-16 -2 -2 0.12
310 H Eastern Kentucky 17- 0 17 3 +++ 11.11
313 H Kennesaw State 1- 6 -5 -1 -- -4.43
314 H Kennesaw State 13- 2 11 -1 +++ 11.57
315 H Kennesaw State 4- 3 1 -1 1.57
317 H Murray State 3- 5 -2 2 -- -4.30
320 A Missouri State 4- 6 -2 -4 1.55
321 H Ole Miss 4-12 -8 -4 -- -4.44
322 A Missouri State 9-10 -1 -4 + 2.55
324 A Alabama A&M 10- 2 8 3 ++ 4.75
327 H New Mexico State 7- 5 2 1 0.77
328 H New Mexico State 8- 7 1 1 -0.23
329 H New Mexico State 9- 6 3 1 1.77
331 H Southern Indiana 2- 7 -5 -1 -- -4.32
402 A Jacksonville State 5- 6 -1 -4 + 3.33
403 A Jacksonville State 6- 7 -1 -4 + 3.33
404 A Jacksonville State 1- 3 -2 -4 + 2.33
407 A New Orleans 5- 2 3 -1 ++ 4.08
410 H Lipscomb 1- 6 -5 2 --- -6.86
411 A Louisiana Tech 2- 8 -6 -2 -- -4.09
412 A Louisiana Tech 3- 5 -2 -2 -0.09
414 A Belmont 10- 8 2 1 0.99
417 H Delaware 8- 7 1 2 -0.97
418 H Delaware 4- 3 1 2 -0.97
419 H Delaware 4- 0 4 2 + 2.03
421 A Tennessee Tech 6-12 -6 3 --- -8.78
424 A Sam Houston 3- 6 -3 -1 - -2.32
425 A Sam Houston 12- 8 4 -1 ++ 4.68
426 A Sam Houston 4- 9 -5 -1 -- -4.32
428 A Vanderbilt 1- 9 -8 -4 - -3.63
501 H Western Kentucky 7- 1 6 0 +++ 6.25
502 H Western Kentucky 0-11 -11 0 --- -10.75
503 H Western Kentucky 8- 9 -1 0 -0.75
508 A Florida International 11- 9 2 0 + 2.02
509 A Florida International 5- 7 -2 0 -1.98
510 A Florida International 2-10 -8 0 --- -7.98
512 H Memphis 10- 9 1 0 1.26
514 A Troy 8- 6 2 -3 ++ 5.47
515 A Ohio State 2- 7 -5 -2 - -2.73
516 H Liberty 7- 8 -1 -2 1.04
520 A Western Kentucky 2- 8 -6 -2 -- -4.40
521 H Jacksonville State 3- 9 -6 -3 - -3.02
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 H St. Bonaventure 5- 6 -1 7 --- -7.74 301 H Illinois State 7-14 -7 3 --- -10.21 306 H Central Arkansas 2- 7 -5 1 --- -6.40 410 H Lipscomb 1- 6 -5 2 --- -6.86 421 A Tennessee Tech 6-12 -6 3 --- -8.78 502 H Western Kentucky 0-11 -11 0 --- -10.75 510 A Florida International 2-10 -8 0 --- -7.98 214 H Bellarmine 3- 6 -3 3 -- -5.95 313 H Kennesaw State 1- 6 -5 -1 -- -4.43 317 H Murray State 3- 5 -2 2 -- -4.30 321 H Ole Miss 4-12 -8 -4 -- -4.44 331 H Southern Indiana 2- 7 -5 -1 -- -4.32 411 A Louisiana Tech 2- 8 -6 -2 -- -4.09 426 A Sam Houston 4- 9 -5 -1 -- -4.32 520 A Western Kentucky 2- 8 -6 -2 -- -4.40 424 A Sam Houston 3- 6 -3 -1 - -2.32 428 A Vanderbilt 1- 9 -8 -4 - -3.63 515 A Ohio State 2- 7 -5 -2 - -2.73 521 H Jacksonville State 3- 9 -6 -3 - -3.02 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Bellarmine 15- 5 10 3 +++ 7.05 217 A UAB 19-15 4 -2 +++ 6.12 227 H Illinois State 13- 3 10 3 +++ 6.79 310 H Eastern Kentucky 17- 0 17 3 +++ 11.11 314 H Kennesaw State 13- 2 11 -1 +++ 11.57 501 H Western Kentucky 7- 1 6 0 +++ 6.25 224 H Tennessee Tech 11- 1 10 4 ++ 5.87 304 A Georgia Southern 7- 1 6 1 ++ 5.15 324 A Alabama A&M 10- 2 8 3 ++ 4.75 407 A New Orleans 5- 2 3 -1 ++ 4.08 425 A Sam Houston 12- 8 4 -1 ++ 4.68 514 A Troy 8- 6 2 -3 ++ 5.47 213 H Bellarmine 8- 2 6 3 + 3.05 228 H Illinois State 8- 2 6 3 + 2.79 322 A Missouri State 9-10 -1 -4 + 2.55 402 A Jacksonville State 5- 6 -1 -4 + 3.33 403 A Jacksonville State 6- 7 -1 -4 + 3.33 404 A Jacksonville State 1- 3 -2 -4 + 2.33 419 H Delaware 4- 0 4 2 + 2.03 508 A Florida International 11- 9 2 0 + 2.02 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 8- 2 -8.74 9.69 -0.68 0.51 9.14
3 H Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 3- 6 -8.74 9.69 -0.68 0.51 -2.39
3 H Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 15- 5 -8.74 9.69 -0.68 0.51 9.14
3 A UAB (31-27, 94.9) 19-15 -5.02 13.40 0.68 0.51 14.29
3 A Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 2- 1 -8.74 9.69 0.68 0.51 10.51
3 H St. Bonaventur ( 1- 6, 87.4) 5- 6 -12.53 5.90 -0.68 0.51 -3.35
3 H St. Bonaventur ( 1- 6, 87.4) 7- 0 -12.53 5.90 -0.68 0.51 5.30
3 H Tennessee Tech ( 5-13, 90.0) 11- 1 -9.92 8.51 -0.68 0.51 7.95
3 H Illinois State ( 4-13, 90.9) 13- 3 -9.00 9.43 -0.68 0.51 8.88
3 H Illinois State ( 4-13, 90.9) 8- 2 -9.00 9.43 -0.68 0.51 8.88
3 H Illinois State ( 4-13, 90.9) 7-14 -9.00 9.43 -0.68 0.51 -2.45
3 A Gardner-Webb ( 6- 8, 92.2) 5- 3 -7.67 10.76 0.68 0.51 11.61
3 A Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 7- 1 -7.99 10.43 0.68 0.51 11.27
3 H Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 2- 7 -7.19 11.24 -0.68 0.51 -2.00
3 A UAB (31-27, 94.9) 8- 9 -5.02 13.40 0.68 0.51 -1.10
3 A UAB (31-27, 94.9) 14-16 -5.02 13.40 0.68 0.51 -1.10
3 H Eastern Kentuc (17-34, 91.2) 17- 0 -8.69 9.74 -0.68 0.51 9.20
3 H Kennesaw State (27-25, 94.7) 1- 6 -5.22 13.20 -0.68 0.51 -1.50
3 H Kennesaw State (27-25, 94.7) 13- 2 -5.22 13.20 -0.68 0.51 12.71
3 H Kennesaw State (27-25, 94.7) 4- 3 -5.22 13.20 -0.68 0.51 12.71
3 H Murray State ( 9-13, 91.8) 3- 5 -8.09 10.34 -0.68 0.51 -2.22
3 A Missouri State (35-19, 96.3) 4- 6 -3.59 14.83 0.68 0.51 -0.74
3 H Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 4-12 -2.23 16.20 -0.68 0.51 -0.74
3 A Missouri State (35-19, 96.3) 9-10 -3.59 14.83 0.68 0.51 -0.74
3 A Alabama A&M ( 1- 6, 89.5) 10- 2 -10.39 8.04 0.68 0.51 8.84
3 H New Mexico Sta (21-32, 92.9) 7- 5 -7.02 11.41 -0.68 0.51 10.89
3 H New Mexico Sta (21-32, 92.9) 8- 7 -7.02 11.41 -0.68 0.51 10.89
3 H New Mexico Sta (21-32, 92.9) 9- 6 -7.02 11.41 -0.68 0.51 10.89
3 H Southern India ( 8- 8, 94.8) 2- 7 -5.11 13.31 -0.68 0.51 -1.47
3 A Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 5- 6 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.51 -0.54
3 A Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 6- 7 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.51 -0.54
3 A Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 1- 3 -2.82 15.61 0.68 0.51 -0.54
3 A New Orleans ( 6-10, 93.8) 5- 2 -6.07 12.36 0.68 0.51 13.23
3 H Lipscomb (32-22, 92.2) 1- 6 -7.65 10.77 -0.68 0.51 -2.11
3 A Louisiana Tech (31-26, 94.7) 2- 8 -5.24 13.19 0.68 0.51 -1.16
3 A Louisiana Tech (31-26, 94.7) 3- 5 -5.24 13.19 0.68 0.51 -1.16
3 A Belmont ( 4-12, 91.7) 10- 8 -8.16 10.27 0.68 0.51 11.11
3 H Delaware (20-30, 92.1) 8- 7 -7.76 10.67 -0.68 0.51 10.14
3 H Delaware (20-30, 92.1) 4- 3 -7.76 10.67 -0.68 0.51 10.14
3 H Delaware (20-30, 92.1) 4- 0 -7.76 10.67 -0.68 0.51 10.14
3 A Tennessee Tech ( 5-13, 90.0) 6-12 -9.92 8.51 0.68 0.51 -2.35
3 A Sam Houston (22-36, 93.4) 3- 6 -6.46 11.97 0.68 0.51 -1.47
3 A Sam Houston (22-36, 93.4) 12- 8 -6.46 11.97 0.68 0.51 12.83
3 A Sam Houston (22-36, 93.4) 4- 9 -6.46 11.97 0.68 0.51 -1.47
3 A Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 1- 9 -2.78 15.65 0.68 0.51 -0.53
3 H Western Kentuc (28-27, 94.4) 7- 1 -5.55 12.88 -0.68 0.51 12.38
3 H Western Kentuc (28-27, 94.4) 0-11 -5.55 12.88 -0.68 0.51 -1.58
3 H Western Kentuc (28-27, 94.4) 8- 9 -5.55 12.88 -0.68 0.51 -1.58
3 A Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 11- 9 -7.12 11.31 0.68 0.51 12.16
3 A Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 5- 7 -7.12 11.31 0.68 0.51 -1.64
3 A Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 2-10 -7.12 11.31 0.68 0.51 -1.64
3 H Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 10- 9 -5.53 12.90 -0.68 0.51 12.40
3 A Troy (40-31, 96.2) 8- 6 -3.68 14.75 0.68 0.51 15.65
3 A Ohio State (31-22, 95.0) 2- 7 -4.87 13.56 0.68 0.51 -1.06
3 H Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 7- 8 -3.75 14.68 -0.68 0.51 -1.12
3 A Western Kentuc (28-27, 94.4) 2- 8 -5.55 12.88 0.68 0.51 -1.24
3 H Jacksonville S (47-18, 97.1) 3- 9 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.51 -0.89
------
250.87
|
winning pts = 293.2769 losing points = -42.4070
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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